robin wright 25/06/2008 10:36:16 ![]() |
RE: Pub closures hit north-west > RE: Pub closures hit north-west
Jacqueline - Quite right the Government is not entirely to blame. The smoking ban comes at an opportune time for the Pubco's just when the proverbial is hitting the fan at, in my humble opinion, their making. Along comes the smoking ban and a couple of rather poorly thought out budgets as a result the slow and painful demise of the British pub over the past 10 years caused by Pubco's is clouded by more recent factors and whilst high profile, relatively by far the most influencial factor is the Pubco model which 'works' for no one but the Pubco. Having said all that it is of course as a result of the Beer Orders that Pubco's emerged so arguably taht's their fault too ! |
robin wright 24/06/2008 12:08:08 ![]() |
RE: Enterprise trials new starter lease > RE: Enterprise trials new starter lease
notice with no compensation reprocussions." I know, says some bright spark in marketing, a "Starter Agreement" - job done, the balance is restored. P.S. Is the association with GA select aimed at me ? Not sure what your on about there - guilty conscience ? |
robin wright 24/06/2008 12:07:25 ![]() |
RE: Enterprise trials new starter lease > RE: Enterprise trials new starter lease
Hi Ken Innocent enough question and I will respond accordingly. No - I have not seen the starter agreements, Yes - my comments are supposition and guesswork. Please copy and print my previous post and marvel at my predictive powers when we finally see these new agreements. Of course I could be wrong, and I am increasingly tired of being right, if so I will gladly hang up my star gazing hat and apologise accordingly for my cymisism on this forum. I, unlike some, am prepared to acknowledge when I am wrong. Is it so difficult to see what is going on ?, banks are reluctant to lend on pubs, particularly with onerous terms, so new operators are becoming a rarity. Pubco's have too many pubs becoming vacant and can not re let them, presumably because, as well as finance problems, prospective operators are listening to their advisors who are informing them of the onerous terms of the RPA's , which are essentially depreciating assests as they have no Landlord and Tenant Act security (so one can not renew at the their maximum 25 year term) another reason the banks will not fancy lending upon them. Empty pubs in the short term is no great problem, previous bankrupt operators have kindly contributed to the cost while vacant in the form of their deposit and rent in advance giving the Pubco's the time to seek planning permission for alternative use and development (the development value invariably being considerably more than the previous investment value based on the rent). Empty pubs in the long term are a problem they cost the Pubco money. Pubco thinks "What we need is an agreement which allows operators in at the bottom end with little or no finance and who will be unlikely to get good advice (as the relative cost will be high compared to the going in price). The rent covers the Pubco cost, they pay the rates and a handsom profit is made out of the full tie, meanwhile when better times arrive we can terminate the agreement on a moments notice with no compensation reprocussions |
robin wright 20/06/2008 00:54:16 ![]() |
RE: Breaking tie will not lead to soaring rents > RE: Breaking tie will not lead to soaring rents
Matthew - Whilst FMT based calculations are the preferred method of valuation in the licensed trade the method is used on tied, part tied and free of tie alike. You seem to be suggesting that it would not be possible to use the method if the Pubco don't have the benefit of a tie. It follows that given the tenant can not use their own figures in the valuation model (as they may or may not reflect the 'competent reasonable operator) they would be incapable of undertaking a valuation and therefore arguing their corner. There is no necessity for other methods, plenty of evidence is created when pubs are let, reviewed or renewed financial information is available on assignments, where's the problem ? Many restaurants are valued on the profits method not so many are tied – valuers seem to manage to value them without any trouble. You are however quite right that the rents should be “...continuously reassessed because the trading conditions nationally and locally are constantly changing.” hence the invention of the periodic rent review clause. I believe RPI increases are not necessarily reflective of all the changing conditions as the past few years have demonstrated. RPI is higher than it has been for a long time therefore rents have increased annually accordingly, how can anyone argue these increases are reflective of current market conditions ? The removal of Upward Only Rent Reviews and RPI increases would allow fair reassessment, when the tenants are trading well the Pubco's are trading well, and vice versa – that's a partnership ! |
robin wright 19/06/2008 23:41:45 ![]() |
RE: Enterprise trials new starter lease > RE: Enterprise trials new starter lease
These pubs are worth nothing as investments vacant, without tenants paying a rent and extortionate product prices under their tie. Of course it is possible that having offered this select portfolio to the market on what appears to be favourable terms, to those not in the know (like the planning authorities) Enterprise will have no problem in attaining planning consent for change of use and will be able to sell for redevelopment. Oh hard luck that bubble seems to be about to burst too any minute. I think the only way out of these bottom end pubs would be an unfortunate series of fires or floods I assume they are insured against that ? |
robin wright 19/06/2008 23:35:19 ![]() |
RE: Enterprise trials new starter lease > RE: Enterprise trials new starter lease
To add insult to injury for these poor unsuspecting new lessees, I think these might be the 'agreements' that are outside the security provisions of the Landlord and Tenant Act much the same as the 'Retail Partnership Agreements' which are clearly so successful that Enterprise are now resorting to these alternative start up agreements. So as a new tenant of one of the RPA's or presumably one of these 'select' pubs you will undoubtedly have to spend a bit of splash cash to improve the premises and in turn the sales (tenants improvements). Come the end of your term you are not entitled to renew and you are not entitled to compensation if Enterprise choose not to renew. It follows that you must factor in that any investment you commit to the property will have to be depreciated over the term of your agreement as you will not be getting it back. There is no incentive for tenants to spend any money on their pub other than for short term gains as they have no security. Has anyone seen one of these starter agreements ? After reading them, I am recommending prospective tenants don't touch the RPA's so god only knows what these new ones are like ! |
robin wright 04/06/2008 23:21:45 ![]() |
Enterprise steadies ship > RE: Enterprise steadies ship
Under review |
robin wright 11/05/2008 13:22:09 ![]() |
It's time to rock the boat > RE: It's time to rock the boat
I read your article with interest. What it does not mention (and I appreciate space is at a premium) is that in the case of the Eagle Ale House, Enterprise originally sought a significant increase and the tenants, after over a year of failed negotiation were forced to seek the appointment of an Arbitrator. The BDM and Regional Director both denied that the rent could potentially go down at review, despite the lease terms, and pleaded ignorance to the comments made by Enterprise at the TISC in which they assured the Committee they would not enforce up only rent reviews and would be removing them from leases where they still exist. These are not particularly good examples of transparency and sadly demonstrate that for all the make up - the Pubco's are still essentially gorillas wearing lipstick ! |
robin wright 28/03/2008 13:08:02 ![]() |
RE: Enterprise promises rent concessions > RE: Enterprise promises rent concessions
Those surveyors out there must be chuffed to bits that Enterprise Inns have finally acknowledged the smoking ban is hitting wet led pubs. Perhaps now they will include a discount to account for the ban in their rent review proposals. Odd, the licensee at The Eagle Ale House (who got a 12% reduction in rent at review) also raised the issue of the smoking ban, the agent representing Enterprise Inns argued that it would have no affect and weirdly, despite the evidence of declines in Scotland and Ireland being submitted, the Arbitrator was inclined to agree with the landlord ! So, neither the Arbitrator or the landlords representative, both no doubt specialists in their field of expertise - the valuation of pubs, could forsee the impact of the smoking ban. I would not want to tar all surveyors with the same brush but am I right in saying both the Arbitrator and surveyor acting for Enterprise Inns, an Expert Witness, were supposed to be unbiased ? Is it any wonder that many licessees have little if any trust in surveyors and prefer (often disatourously) to try and negotiate their reviews themselves. |
robin wright 10/03/2008 10:48:59 ![]() |
RE: Enterprise lessee gets 12% rent drop > RE: Enterprise lessee gets 12% rent drop
David The bit many readers might not get is that The Eagle lease had UORR clause and RPI increases and went down 12% on their 5 year rent review it follows that (if my maths is up to anything) the rent now is less than it was 5 years ago - the rent went down - No ? I think its great that EI have had to actually spell out that they 'do not enforce UORR clause' in accordance with their statement to the Select Committee, but I would still challenge Mr. Townsend to ensure ALL lessees are made fully aware of this 'gesture'. As you rightly say without the binding Deed of Variation the future is still uncertain as, if the freehold of a pub is sold, the new landlord may not be inclined to continue the 'arrangement'. Correct me if I am wrong, but didn't Mr. Townsends predecessor Mr. Harrison state that the UORR clause would be removed from leases where it still exists back in 2004 to the Select Committee ? |