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Forum user 4010 31/07/2008 10:22:25 ![]() |
RE: Tuppen: Enterprise lessees coping well > RE: Tuppen: Enterprise lessees coping well
Sorry to hear your problems Dennis. Was the pub in the photo yours ? The Carpenters Arms ? or is it just a coincidence that your story fits that pubs history. Just shows there must be hundreds out there suffering the same. What I can not believe is that Government, analysts and the City are unable to see Pubco's for what they are, Property Companies taking advantage of a property value loophole - the development value of any one pub being considerably more than its value as a pub, and the Pubco model for what it is - a scam ! A great scam, but a scam all the same, to simply buy cheap property have someone else sponsor the purchase - us - and then, when squeezed till theres no blood left, sold for redevelopment and a healthy profit to buy more pubs. When will people realise Pubco's care nothing for Pubs just the income they can achieve. I know many Enterprise lessees, I know none 'coping well'. I urge all Enterprise Inns lessees to join Fair Pint and at the same time write in to the MA and tell them just how well you are coping - perhaps then the MA will stop offering Mr. Tuppen space to tout his propaganda. |
Forum user 4010 30/07/2008 13:05:35 ![]() |
RE: Tuppen: Enterprise lessees coping well > RE: Tuppen: Enterprise lessees coping well
Does anyone know where the pub is in the background of the article with Mr. Tuppen in the foreground ? I believe this is the Carpenters Arms, Lower Metherell, Cornwall. The tenant went bust and did a runner last year it stood empty for 5 months before a young enthusiastic couple took it, they have yet to be offered a lease at a realistic,sustainable, rental level and are therefore still occupying on a temporary basis. I wonder how many pubs are occupied on the same short term basis, this would help Enterprise Inns give the impression things are not as bad as they seem ? Note to Ted's publicity boys - choose a pub for the background that is a reflection of your bosses comments not one that contradicts them. |
Forum user 4010 24/07/2008 14:08:10 ![]() |
Heaven knows pubs are not all miserable now > RE: Heaven knows pubs are not all miserable now
Sorry Roger but you seem to have a rose tinted view of the current pub situation. Forgetting the fact that the two St Albans pubs have main road frontages to a busy 'A' road and therefore benefit from a passing trade, I have to mention the Scarbrough Hotel to all those envious tenants out there wondering what they are doing wrong. Roger neglected to mention that the Scarbrough Arms is directly opposite the entrance to Leeds Mainline train station. Its busy - no s**t Sherlock. Stephen Corbet hits the nail on the head, many pubs can be busy but are the licensees working all hours god sends for no return. I have a fairly busy London pub, 400 barrels, but am struggling to financially keep my head above water. I don't want a concessionary rent I want a fair rent reflecting the financial capabilities of the pub. The Pubco's get it both ways high rent and trade tie. It is already too late for 27 pubs per week and many more to come, articles like Rogers only serve to demonstrate ignorance of reality and I find it unbelievable that those at MA knows so little to waste a page on Rogers out of touch opinion. |
Forum user 4010 24/07/2008 10:18:09 ![]() |
RE: Tuppen: Enterprise lessees coping well > RE: Tuppen: Enterprise lessees coping well
Enterprise Inns are having a revaluation as we speak I understand. I think Humberts are the valuers but would have to check. Now, most of us already hold the opinion that rents are too high but few risk the costs and time of Arbitration to prove it and instead settle for a marginal increase. Enterprise will be the first to concede that few reviews end in Arbitration. A property portfolio value will be based, in part, upon rental income and that has overall gone up it follows that the portfolio value will go up accordingly. I know of only one pub, The Eagle, that took their rent review to Arbitration and won, achieving a 12% lower rent. Demonstrating that not only was the Pubco proposed rent wrong but the pub had been over paying BEFORE the review date due to their RPI increases - no refund there then !! If a 'hypothetical' portfolio was worth, say, £5 billion based on its rental income it follows, if those rents are in fact not accurate reflections of actual value, the £5 billion would be an over valuation of the portfolio. I think it would be fair to say some pubs are over rented, some fair and some under rented but overall we know the answer. Only a 1% reduction in rental value would equal a 10% reduction in portfolio value - a mere £50 million drop !! The question is will Humberts value the rental income or the rental value if they over value and it becomes obvious they will become the laughing stock of the surveying world or they could, like so many others err on the side of caution no doubt resulting in a value less than that existing. in such uncertain times the City would probably react badly to this news and I would imagine Uncle Ted would be none too pleased. Humberts - I take my hat off, very brave to take on this instruction. |
Forum user 4010 18/07/2008 13:35:55 ![]() |
RE: Fair Pint: Rents are to blame for pub failures > RE: Fair Pint: Rents are to blame for pub failures
The Pubco codes all vary but the ones I have seen are blissfully vague. How many tenants out there have had a genuinely transparent rent calculation, where the pubco substantiate each and every variable. Oh sure, you get a computer print out telling you how the calculation works (e.g. 10 x 10 + 100, no dispute there so it must be right, but where do the 10's come from ?) They should be pushed to prove every variable is appropriate not just the best they can find. The Eagle Ale House asked their Pubco repeatedly for evidence to substantiate the quoted 34% increase over commencing rent five years previous at review and as the Pubco could not provide it the tenants forced the issue to Arbitration - the result even with a result unsatisfactory to the tenants they achieved a 12% reduction on rent passing. If you want more details on how achieved speak to SIMON at The Eagle (02072282328) he is always happy to help. |
Forum user 4010 18/07/2008 13:21:13 ![]() |
RE: Fair Pint: Rents are to blame for pub failures > RE: Fair Pint: Rents are to blame for pub failures
Nigel - sorry for delay in responding. Rent levels are indeed a nonsense as the accelerating closure of pubs demonstrates. OK there will be those who say its other reasons and no doubt there are other contributory factors but in my pub rent amounts to the second largest single expense (the first being drinks purchases - which interestingly, if we lost the beer tie,would be second and rent first). The Pubco's only use your barrelage if it is exceptional (obviously they should be looking at what is achievable by a reasonably competent operator not the individual) if your struggling then surprise, surprise they use comparables from pubs doing better barrelage (their barrelage often being as a result of better location, size, demographics etc.) In your example, the passing rent was fixed when ? I don't doubt the Pubco may be trying it on, having the benefit of tenants being over a barrel, but if the rent was fixed 4-5 years ago the rent may have reflected the barrelage then which subsequently increased and is not going down again. The other thing is that whilst the Pubco's no doubt employ surveyors the BDM's are rarely anything more than glorified rent collectors and it seems to be them that try and get the rents up - no doubt as they are incentivised to do so, they are not obliged to follow the RICS code of conduct. |
Forum user 4010 10/07/2008 10:36:05 ![]() |
RE: Fair Pint: Rents are to blame for pub failures > RE: Fair Pint: Rents are to blame for pub failures
Nigel - RICS Paper 2 highly questionable ?, well, you have to be pointing the finger at the Trading Related Valuation Committee, who advise the RICS on such issues, they must be unbiased mustn't they ?. A Committee of market experts advising on how to value pubs, oh, did I mention the Chairman is Rob May (Enterprise Inns), unbiased - yeah right. Back to the problem at hand, the freeholders valuer should not be using actual accounts (indeed there is case law excluding it from valuations) but oddly enough they still use tenants actual barrelage to establish a fair maintainable turnover (if you can call it that). Unfortunately, the other part of that calculation involves a 'rate per barrel'(barrelage x rate per barrel = fair maintainable turnover) which you will be told is an extremely complex mathematical equation - cobblers - this is the excuse for maintaining a degree of mystery on a figure that is more often than not plucked from thin air to suit the rental required. Truth is if their were sufficient alternative leases available no one would accept the big Pubco lease terms but as they have a strangle hold on the pubs available, are selling any pubs (for a tidy profit) that suit change of use and put restrictive covenants on any freeholds they sell, the prospective tenant, naive or not, has little choice but to have a go - sadly often loosing their shirts. |
Forum user 4010 09/07/2008 16:43:27 ![]() |
RE: Fair Pint: Rents are to blame for pub failures > RE: Fair Pint: Rents are to blame for pub failures
Sorry - The Eagle Alehouse, 104 Chatham Road, Battersea, London. SW11 6HG 0207 228 2328 |
Forum user 4010 09/07/2008 16:31:08 ![]() |
RE: Fair Pint: Rents are to blame for pub failures > RE: Fair Pint: Rents are to blame for pub failures
First sorry for this forum number thing - I keep trying to alter it to Robin Wright but there seems to be an error in the system. Second, no, Ken and I are not the same person, in the main I consider his views less than helpful and little more than red herrings which unfortunately other members seize upon and respond to, but every once in a blue moon I think he has a point. If forum users don't like what he says then just ignore it lets not become a school play ground where headmaster Ewan keeps having to step in and stop petty squabbles. On a more serious note, Nigel, surveyors are supposed to value on the basis of the lease terms, which generally include the phrase assuming a reasonably competent operator. They are not supposed to value on the basis of the actual accounts as these may be better or worse than a reasonably competent operator. So how is this operator, well, it should be established by comparing other operators making reasonable adjustments for location, lease terms, tie etc. Our Pubco chums obviously will ask you for your accounts and if they are better than expected will use them, if worse they will find some other figures which are more often than not pie in the sky. Yes, surveyors should get some pub operating experience, they would then know the differences of likely GP for a pub which is fully tied, part tied or free. Speak to Simon Clarke at The Eagle if you wnat to know more (he's the one who took Enterprise to Arbitration and got a 12% rent reduction !! - he is a surveyor and publican) |
Forum user 4010 07/07/2008 16:58:08 ![]() |
RE: Fair Pint: Rents are to blame for pub failures > RE: Fair Pint: Rents are to blame for pub failures
The aim - maintain a consistent portfolio of around 7-8,000 pubs (in order to avoid those pesky monopolies and mergers folk), squeeze until the bottom end of the estate collapse keep the deposit and rent in advance, until planning permission acquired for sale as a redevelopment, (development value is greater than investment value as a pub) substantially profit, buy more pubs,improve portfolio value and the spiral continues. Just read the last MA - Enterprise Inns selling 10 pubs but all will be sold with a covenant restricting reopening as a pub. So, if these pubs are incapable of running as a viable concern why bother with the restriction, could it be that a freehouse might actually thrive in these locations ? That might be a bit embarrassing, the mighty Pubco formula doesn't on these sites but one of Ken's naive operators who gets a chance at a pub without the tie and RPI rent succeeds. Best not allow that possibilty, eh. |